(Source: Belfast Telegraph)

THE unemployment rate in the Republic has fallen for the first
time in almost two years, it was announced yesterday.
According to the Central Statistics Office, the rate fell to
12.5% in October, down from 12.6% in September. The last monthly
fall was in December 2007 when just 4.7% of the workforce was
jobless.
The number of people claiming unemployment benefits fell in
October by more than 7,400, to 412,407.
Despite many leaping on the fall in jobless figures as a chink of
light for the Republic's beleaguered economy, economists have warned
that some one-off factors may have led to a temporary drop and that
the rate may head towards 15% next year.
Alan McQuaid, chief economist at Bloxham Stockbrokers in Dublin,
said: "On the surface these numbers suggest that the jobless rate
has peaked... they at least buy the government some time."
But the reopening of Ireland's universities in September, as well
as rising emigration and increased government job-training
programmes, could be skewing the latest figures, he suggested.
Meanwhile, tentative signs of an increase in consumer confidence
emerged in the Republic yesterday. The KBC Ireland/ESRI Consumer
Sentiment Index improved to 54.2 last month, the highest since April
2008. An all-time low of 39.6 was reached in July 2008.
Yesterday's positive signals came as credit rating firm Fitch cut
the Republic's credit rating, citing the severity of its economic
downturn.
The move, the second in just over six months, reduced the Irish
Republic's sovereign rating to 'AA-' from 'AA+', missing out the
'AA' rating. But Fitch put the outlook for the rating as 'stable'.
The latest downgrade puts Ireland's rating at the same level as
Italy and Cyprus and partly reflects the severity of the economic
adjustment under way
(c) 2009 Belfast Telegraph. Provided by ProQuest LLC. All rights Reserved.
A service of YellowBrix, Inc.