(Source: The Dallas Morning News)

By The Dallas Morning News
Nov. 4--Whenever the legendary Oracle of Omaha tosses his considerable
wealth behind an investment, the rest of us should also try to gaze over his
shoulder into his crystal ball. Warren Buffett isn't known for placing many
losing bets.
But Buffett also is known for extraordinary financial insight, and his
multibillion-dollar investment to acquire the rest of Fort Worth-based
Burlington Northern Santa Fe provides an intriguing glimpse into the future of
world and U.S. economies.
Some of it is good; some of it is troubling.
For one thing, Buffett expects a booming China to continue to burn coal,
despite climate-change concerns, in order to produce the consumer goods
Americans have come to rely on. He's also betting that coal will remain a
major part of America's energy mix for the foreseeable future as the country's
main source of electricity. Taken together, this is an impressive endorsement
of America's future economic prowess.
However, if you had hoped the U.S. would move more swiftly away from its
dependence on dirty coal for electricity -- or that China would dramatically
clean up its coal plants -- Buffett's move suggests the opposite.
Why? The purchase is a massive wager on coal. About half of Burlington
Northern's cargo is coal, and coal accounts for a lot of the rail company's
revenue. It's hard to imagine Buffett making this wager if he believed the
U.S. economy wasn't recovering or that pending climate-change legislation in
Congress would dramatically reduce coal consumption.
There are other implications. If Buffett's investment instincts are
right, the rest of us should brace for pain from higher oil and gas prices. As
oil and gas prices rise, and road congestion increases, rail becomes an
increasingly attractive alternative to long-haul trucking, especially for
transporting such commodities as coal, wheat and lumber and imported finished
goods from West Coast ports to the Midwest. By, in effect, doubling his bet on
rail, Buffett almost certainly believes Burlington Northern will be positioned
to take advantage of rising fuel prices.
For Dallas, the Buffett deal is especially good news. It affirms the
growing resurgence of connected rail and truck hubs like the International
Inland Port of Dallas. Near a strategic intersection of three interstate
highways and the Union Pacific and Burlington Northern rail lines in southern
Dallas, the inland port is projected to be a major regional employer and
catalyst for economic development south of the Trinity River.
Buffett has seen the future and is betting that it will burn brightly. As
his immense wealth would attest, he's rarely wrong.
-----
To see more of The Dallas Morning News, or to subscribe to the newspaper, go
to http://www.dallasnews.com.
Copyright (c) 2009, The Dallas Morning News
Distributed by McClatchy-Tribune Information Services.
For reprints, email tmsreprints@permissionsgroup.com, call 800-374-7985 or 847-635-6550, send a fax to 847-635-6968, or write to The Permissions Group Inc., 1247 Milwaukee Ave., Suite 303, Glenview, IL 60025, USA.
A service of YellowBrix, Inc.