(Source: Info-Prod Research (Middle East))

Moody's Investors Service downgraded both the long term local
currency deposit rating of Mercantil, C.A., Banco Universal
(Mercantil) to Ba3, from Ba2, and that of Banco de Venezuela
(Banvenez) to Ba2, from Ba1. The outlook is stable for both these
ratings. At the same time, Moody's confirmed Banvenez's bank
financial strength rating at D-, with a negative outlook. The
downgrade of the local currency deposit ratings is driven by the
rating agency's reassessment of a government's ability to support
its banks during a protracted, systemic event, such as during the
ongoing global crisis. The likelihood of such support is an
important part of Moody's credit analysis, and it provides uplift to
deposit ratings above the floor implied by a banks' own financial
strength. The local currency deposit rating downgrades bring both
banks' ratings closer in line with that of the Venezuelan
government's own B1 local currency bond rating. These rating actions
conclude the review for possible downgrade of the deposit ratings
initiated on July 1, 2009. Moody's noted that the rating action on
Mercantil's deposits does not reflect a change in the bank's
intrinsic financial strength. In fact, on July 1, 2009, Moody's had
affirmed Mercantil's D- bank financial strength rating and its Ba3
unsupported baseline credit assessment to reflect the adequacy of
the bank's balance sheet. The bank financial strength rating
measures a bank's intrinsic safety and soundness and, as such,
excludes external credit-support elements. Mercantil's Ba3 deposit
local currency rating benefits from no uplift due to systemic
support. The confirmation of Banvenez's D- bank financial strength
rating reflects Moody's view of its potentially enhanced importance
in the system, which could result from its intended role as a
consolidator of other Venezuelan public sector banks, under the
newly created Corporaci?n de la Banca P?blica. However, Moody's
believes Banvenez's new role is also likely to result in changes in
the bank's risk management and thus its asset allocation, as greater
emphasis is placed on executing public policy at the expense of risk-
adjusted returns. Over the medium term Bavenez's new public policy
role may have a negative effect on the bank's financial metrics,
Moody's said -- particularly asset quality, profitability and
capitalization -- which it assesses in its analysis of a bank's
intrinsic financial strength. The rating agency therefore has
assigned a negative outlook to Banvenez's financial strength rating,
indicating that it would monitor the bank's financial fundamentals
closely during the next several quarters.