CALGARY, Nov. 20, 2012 /CNW/ - Whitecap Resources Inc. ("Whitecap",
"we", "us", "our" or the "Company") (TSX: WCP) is pleased to announce
its plans to transition to a pre-eminent intermediate size light oil
producer focused on paying sustainable dividends and delivering long
term per share growth.
STRATEGIC RATIONALE
Since inception Whitecap has delivered 33 percent compounded annual
production growth on a fully diluted per share basis. We have
strategically acquired and integrated light oil assets that have
predictable production profiles, shallow declines, strong netbacks, and
large repeatable light oil development drilling inventories. All these
factors allow us to seamlessly transition to a dividend-and-growth
model that can support sustainable dividend payments to our
shareholders and also provide continuing annual per share growth of 3
to 5 percent.
Our assets currently under management provide high operating netbacks
and, when combined with our low corporate cost structure, generate
strong cash flow netbacks which will allow us to fully fund our planned
dividend payments and capital program through internally generated
funds from operations. Our basic payout ratio for 2013 is expected to
be 32 percent and we anticipate total capital spending and dividend
payments to represent less than 95 percent of our funds from
operations.
We at Whitecap believe we have the key attributes to successfully
transition to a sustainable income plus dividend-and-growth model.
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Sustainability Criteria
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Whitecap Resources Inc.
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Strong Capital Efficiencies
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Strong production replacement costs and recycle ratios
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Light oil focused capital program driving drill bit capital efficiencies
of $25,000 to $30,000 per boe/d
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Solid Netbacks
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Oil-weighted production generates high operating netbacks of $43.00/boe
and cash flow netbacks of $39.00/boe (2013 estimate)
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71 percent oil and NGL weighting
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Low Decline Rate
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Base decline of 31 percent in 2013 to support dividend and reinvestment
in core light oil resource areas
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Base decline forecast to decrease with the change in growth profile; 27
percent in 2014 and 23 percent in 2015
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Significant Drilling Inventory
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Large inventory of oil-weighted, highly economic drilling locations
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>850 (10+ years) low risk light oil development drilling locations
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Strong Hedging Program
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Strong hedging program to mitigate risks associated with fluctuation in
commodity prices which in turn provides greater predictability over
funds from operations and dividend payments
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Currently hedged 49 percent of 2013 crude oil production, net of
royalties at an average floor price of C$99.77/bbl
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Currently hedged 38 percent of 2013 natural gas production, net of
royalties at an average floor price of C$3.26/mcf
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We anticipate hedging up to 75 percent of volumes, net of royalties
using a rolling 3 year price risk management program
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Clean Balance Sheet
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Clean balance sheet to provide financial and operational flexibility
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Expect to exit 2012 with net debt of $335 million on a $450 million
credit facility
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2013 estimated debt to funds from operations of 1.2x - 1.3x
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Strong Management Team
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A disciplined and experienced management team with a track record of
sustained per share growth, operational efficiency and value creation
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2013 GUIDANCE
2013 will be a transitional year for Whitecap as we advance from a high
growth energy company to a dividend-and-growth entity with focus on
sustainable dividend payments while maintaining emphasis on per share
growth in production, reserves and funds from operations.
For 2013, Whitecap is pleased to announce that our Board of Directors
has approved a $152 million capital program and an initial monthly
dividend policy of $0.05 per share commencing January 2013 with the
first dividend payment in February 2013, all of which is anticipated to
be funded through funds from operations. Our dividend policy is
reviewed monthly and is based on a number of factors including current
and future commodity prices, foreign exchange rates, our commodity
hedging program, current operations and future investment
opportunities. Each dividend declaration will be confirmed by a
monthly press release.
In each of our core operating areas the funds from operations we
forecast for 2013 are in excess of the forecasted capital spending in
these areas which enables us to not only grow production but distribute
excess funds from operations to our shareholders. The 2013 capital
program will focus on advancing the development of our core areas,
specifically targeting the Cardium, Viking and Montney oil reservoirs,
which make up 97% of our current production and opportunities. We have
demonstrated a track record of success in these plays which we will
continue to execute in the new model.
We plan to drill between 70 - 75 (65 - 70 net) light oil wells for the
year including five (3.5 net) wells to advance the Valhalla North
Montney waterflood project, 32 (31.4 net) horizontal Cardium oil wells
split equally between the Garrington and greater Pembina areas of
Alberta, 33 (30.1 net) horizontal Viking oil wells in the Lucky Hills
area in western Saskatchewan, and two (1.8 net) oil wells in the
Fosterton area of southwest Saskatchewan.
2013 summary guidance as follows:
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2013 Budget
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2012 Forecast
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% Change
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Average production (boe/d)
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16,800 - 17,000
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14,000
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21%
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Per MM shares (fully diluted)
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124
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115
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8%
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% Oil + NGLs
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71%
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69%
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2%
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Exit production (boe/d)
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17,000 - 17,400
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16,900 - 17,100
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3%
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Funds from operations ($mm)
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240 - 245
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190
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29%
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Per share ($fully diluted)
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1.77 - 1.80
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1.56
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15%
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Operating netback ($/boe)
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43.00
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42.00
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2%
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Cash flow netback ($/boe)
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39.00
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37.50
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4%
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Development capital spending ($mm)
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150 - 155
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235 - 240
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(35%)
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Wells drilled (gross #)
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70 - 75
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105 - 110
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(32%)
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Net debt to funds from operations
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1.2x - 1.3x
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1.8x
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(33%)
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Edmonton Par (C$/bbl)
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85.00
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86.35
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(2%)
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AECO gas price (C$/GJ)
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3.30
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2.31
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43%
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CAD/USD exchange rate
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1.0
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1.0
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As with 2012, we anticipate experiencing commodity price volatility in
2013 and continue to believe that crude oil should average between $80
- $95 WTI. We also expect the differential between WTI and Edmonton Par
to continue to be volatile while transportation alternatives are
continually being developed either by pipeline or rail out of western
Canada. Our light oil production attracts a much tighter price
differential than heavy oil and we remain active on mitigating negative
price differentials while optimizing our realized commodity price and
cash flow netbacks.
OUTLOOK FOR THE FUTURE
Since we initially contemplated dividend payments in February 2012 we
have done a significant amount of stress testing on our modeling
assumptions; considering commodity prices, decline rates, capital
efficiencies, and debt levels to ensure long-term sustainability. We
believe that over the next three years we are capable of providing a
reliable and sustainable dividend of $0.60 per share per year with the
objective to increase the dividend paid over time while providing 3 - 5
percent annual per share growth.
On behalf of our Board of Directors and our entire team, I would like to
thank you for your support of Whitecap to date. We also look forward to
the transition to a dividend-and-growth company and reporting back to
you with our progress in 2013 and beyond.
Note Regarding Forward Looking Statements and Other Advisories
This press release contains forward-looking statements and
forward-looking information (collectively "forward-looking
information") within the meaning of applicable securities laws relating
to the Company's plans and other aspects of our anticipated future
operations, management focus, strategies, financial, operating and
production results and business opportunities. Forward-looking
information typically uses words such as "anticipate", "believe",
"project", "expect", "goal", "plan", "intend" or similar words
suggesting future outcomes, statements that actions, events or
conditions "may", "would", "could" or "will" be taken or occur in the
future, including statements about our strategy, plans and focus,
future dividends and dividend policy, forecast annual per share growth,
the source of funding of dividend payments, planned capital
expenditures and the source of funding of our capital program,
projected payout ratios and dividend yields, expected future
production and product mix, forecast operating and financial results
including funds from operations and operating and cash flow netbacks,
future decline rates, drilling inventories and drilling plans, hedging
plans and the benefits to be obtained from our hedging program,
anticipated debt levels and our debt to funds from operations ratio,
forecasted commodity prices and differentials, forecasted exchange
rates and anticipated production costs, recycle ratios and capital
efficiencies.
The forward-looking information is based on certain key expectations and
assumptions made by our management, including expectations and
assumptions concerning prevailing commodity prices, exchange rates,
interest rates, applicable royalty rates and tax laws; future
production rates and estimates of operating costs; performance of
existing and future wells; reserve and resource volumes; anticipated
timing and results of capital expenditures; the success obtained in
drilling new wells; the sufficiency of budgeted capital expenditures in
carrying out planned activities; the timing, location and extent of
future drilling operations; the state of the economy and the
exploration and production business; results of operations;
performance; business prospects and opportunities; the availability and
cost of financing, labour and services; the impact of increasing
competition; ability to efficiently integrate assets and employees
acquired through acquisitions, ability to market oil and natural gas
successfully and our ability to access capital.
Although we believe that the expectations and assumptions on which such
forward-looking information is based are reasonable, undue reliance
should not be placed on the forward-looking information because
Whitecap can give no assurance that they will prove to be correct.
Since forward-looking information addresses future events and
conditions, by its very nature they involve inherent risks and
uncertainties. Our actual results, performance or achievement could
differ materially from those expressed in, or implied by, the
forward-looking information and, accordingly, no assurance can be given
that any of the events anticipated by the forward-looking information
will transpire or occur, or if any of them do so, what benefits that we
will derive therefrom. Management has included the above summary of
assumptions and risks related to forward-looking information provided
in this press release in order to provide securityholders with a more
complete perspective on our future operations and such information may
not be appropriate for other purposes.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists of factors are not
exhaustive. Additional information on these and other factors that
could affect our operations or financial results are included in
reports on file with applicable securities regulatory authorities and
may be accessed through the SEDAR website (www.sedar.com).
These forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this press
release and we disclaim any intent or obligation to update publicly any
forward-looking information, whether as a result of new information,
future events or results or otherwise, other than as required by
applicable securities laws.
Non-GAAP Measures
This press release contains the terms "funds from operations",
"operating netbacks" and "cash flow netbacks", which do not have a
standardized meaning prescribed by GAAP and therefore may not be
comparable with the calculation of similar measures by other companies.
Whitecap uses funds from operations, operating netbacks and cash flow
netbacks to analyze financial and operating performance. Whitecap
believes these benchmarks are key measures of profitability and overall
sustainability for the Company. These terms are commonly used in the
oil and gas industry. Funds from operations, operating netbacks and
cash flow netbacks are not intended to represent operating profits nor
should they be viewed as an alternative to funds from operations
provided by operating activities, net earnings or other measures of
financial performance calculated in accordance with GAAP. Funds from
operations are calculated as funds from operations from operating
activities excluding transaction costs less changes in non-cash working
capital. Operating netbacks are determined by deducting royalties,
production expenses and transportation and selling expenses from oil
and gas revenue. Cash flow netbacks are determined by deducting general
and administrative and interest and financing expenses from the
operating netback. The Company calculates funds from operations per
share using the same method and shares outstanding that are used in the
determination of earnings per share.
"Boe" means barrel of oil equivalent on the basis of 6 mcf of natural
gas to 1 bbl of oil. Boe's may be misleading, particularly if used in
isolation. A boe conversion ratio of 6 mcf: 1 bbl is based on an energy
equivalency conversion method primarily applicable at the burner tip
and does not represent a value equivalency at the wellhead. In
addition, given that the value ratio based on the current price of
crude oil as compared to natural gas is significantly different from
the energy equivalency of 6: 1, utilizing a conversion on a 6:1 basis
may be misleading as an indication of value.
SOURCE: Whitecap Resources Inc.
Whitecap Resources Inc.
500, 222 - 3 Avenue SW
Calgary, AB T2P 0B4