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Call Buying Bulls Eye Guess Rally

 July 12, 2011 02:15 PM
 

Guess, Inc. (GES)– Call options on the apparel retailer are on trend with bullish players positioning for shares in Guess to rally substantially by September expiration. September contract options, which are by far the most actively traded on GES this morning, expire after the company's August 25 second-quarter earnings report. Shares in the designer of contemporary apparel and accessories are currently down 0.75% to stand at $40.91 just after 11:50 am ET. The largest single transaction in GES options was initiated at the September $44 strike, where some 10,000 calls were purchased for an average premium of $1.45 each against paltry previously existing open interest of 314 contracts. The call buyer profits at expiration if the price of the underlying jumps 11.1% over the current price of $40.91 to surpass the effective breakeven point at $45.45. GES shares last traded above $45.45 in March. Bullish players also snapped up more than 100 calls at the September $45 and $48 strikes for premiums of $1.17 and $0.57 per contract. Meanwhile, investors anticipating bearish movement in the price of the underlying looked to the September $41 strike to pick up around 1,500 in-the-money puts at an average premium of $2.70 apiece. Put buyers profit if shares in the apparel producer drop 6.4% in the next couple of months to trade beneath the average breakeven price of $38.30 at expiration in September. Options implied volatility on Guess, Inc. rose 7.0% to 35.92% in early-afternoon trade.

Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. (GT)– Investors itching for a near-term rally in Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co. shares appear to be hoarding August contract call options. Shares in the manufacturer of tires and rubber products increased as much as 3.8% in the first half of the session to secure an intraday high of $17.42. GT earlier said it has closed a tire manufacturing facility in Union City, TN, which the company had previously estimated may take until the end of the year to close. Traders initiating bullish stances on Goodyear may be looking for a positive earnings surprise when the company reveals its performance for the second quarter on July 28. Investors picked up 2,000 in-the-money calls at the August $17 strike for an average premium of $1.15 each, but trading traffic was heaviest up at the August $18 strike.


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