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Where Will The Markets Finish Q3?

 September 28, 2011 03:05 PM

Hello traders everywhere! Adam Hewison here, co-founder of MarketClub with your mid-day market update for Wednesday, the 28th of September.

What does the word austerity mean to you?

"Austerity: noun, the trait of great self denial, especially refraining from worldly pleasures, strict economy."

It would seem that the meaning of the word "austerity" has been lost in translation in Europe. How can you expand and grow an economy when the very meaning of austerity is the opposite of expansion? There is no way Greece or any country can grow their economy in an austerity program. They won't be able to pay back the massive amount of money they owe everyone.

What we are seeing now is pure political theater. Everyone talks a good game, but unfortunately there are no easy answers or solutions to a problem that took years to grow into a global problem.

[Related -To See a Bear Market, Look to Gold Not Stocks]

We are just two days short of the end of Q3 and the end of the month. How are these markets going to close for the quarter and for the week? Depending on which markets you are looking at, most markets are lower for the month, with the exception of the dollar index. The dollar index could possibly close at a seven-month high on the monthly charts.

One thing is for certain, Europe is not the United States of America. In Europe there are too many areas of national pride for each individual country. I always believed this national trait would act as the Achilles' heel in a euro zone economy. My view has not changed.

Can the banks be saved? We will let the markets answer that question for us.

[Related -All Signs Point To Higher Gold Prices]

Now let's go to the 6 major markets we track and update every trading day and see how we can create and maintain your wealth in 2011.

Monthly Trade Triangles for Long-Term Trends = Negative
Weekly Trade Triangles for Intermediate Term Trends = Negative
Daily Trade Triangles for Short-Term Trends = Positive
Combined Strength of Trend Score = – 85
It would appear this market has run its course on the upside. The highs that we witnessed yesterday around the 1195 area should hold any further upside rallies. We would view a close today below 1163 as a very negative sign. While this index is higher for the week so far, it is lower for the month and for the quarter. A close around current levels will be the lowest quarterly close in over four quarters. Overall this market is trapped in a trading range bound by 1120 on the downside and 1220 on the upside. We are looking for this market to break down and be on the defensive for the next several weeks. Intermediate and Long-term traders should continue to be short this index.
Suggested S&P 500 Trading Instruments:
Non Leveraged ETF's: (Long SPY) (Short SH)
2 x Leveraged ETF's: (Long SSO)(Short SDS)
Futures: Contracts are available to trade this market. Contact your broker
Options: Options Contracts are available to trade this market.Contact your broker
WARNING: Liquidity is some ETFs is very thin. Contact your broker for more information.

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