Liquidity will likely be higher in today's early trading as several events are being published in rapid succession from Britain, Canada and the US. American liquidity will be heightened, and Great Britain will contribute to today's movements with its retail sales figure.
USD - US Dollar Bearish, but Downturn Limited
The US dollar (USD) was seen trading mildly bearish early Thursday as traders viewed comments by the Fed as a sign of potentially impending hawkish moves on the policy front. The sudden jolt to risk appetite generated by such movement pushed down on the greenback, but seems to have lifted following a string of reports out of the US today which could reverse much of the markets recently acquired short-term stability.
Data from the American housing market yesterday also signaled mixed messages between building permits and home sales, representing a possible lull in impending construction, but an increase in mortgage loans and other sales. The news has done little to the forex market, however, though it could ripple through longer-term analyses on US capital markets later in the year.
As for today, the US economic releases will focus mostly on housing and manufacturing. Liquidity will likely be higher in today's early trading as several events are being published in rapid succession from Britain, Canada and the US. American liquidity will be heightened, and Great Britain will contribute to today's movements with its retail sales report.
EUR - Euro Bullish from Sudden Growth in Risk Appetite
The euro (EUR) is expected to be seen trading with bullish results this morning ahead of a slew of reports from Great Britain, Canada and the United States. Against the US dollar (USD) the euro has been seen trading somewhat bearish as the greenback moves upward against its currency rivals.
Traders are looking for a way to balance a renewal of risk aversion with continued shakiness in global markets. A mildly pessimistic sentiment towards investing in the US dollar at the moment has many investors on edge. An embattled euro zone, fending off market bears amid turmoil in its peripheral nations, also looks to be losing ground in financial markets as safe haven assets such as the Swiss franc (CHF) and Japanese yen (JPY) make gains.
Sentiment across the euro zone has turned negative, with many analysts and economists expecting moves towards safety by traders this week. Any more bearishly-leaning news out of any major global economy will likely pull down on the EUR even further as investors flee risk. With a heavy news day ahead, many traders are anticipating significant data releases to move the market.