MBIA Inc. (NYSE: MBI ) is expected to report its Q3 results on Nov 7, 2011.
U.S.-housing-related losses have become more stable and appear more predictable. And of course, the exposure continues to decrease. I think new delinquencies in the company's second lien mortgage book will be consistent with my expectations, and payments may be somewhat above what my model predicted. I think MBIA would have also achieved substantial reductions in future volatility by commuting a number of CDO transactions. Reductions in statutory reserves for RMBS and ABS CDOs could more than offset increases in reserves for CMBS.
For the third quarter of 2011, MBIA is likely to report revenue of $134.1 million, a decrease of 1.8 percent over the same quarter a year ago. Operating loss is likely to come in at $185.9 million, compared with an operating loss of $356.6 million in the same quarter a year ago. Net profit is likely to come in at $66 million, compared with a net loss of $213.4 million in the same quarter a year ago.
National public finance is expected to perform in line with expectations in the quarter, with adjusted pre-tax income in excess of $150 million. The structured finance and international business primarily conducted in MBIA Insurance Corp. is expected to report adjusted pre-tax income in excess of $190 million.
Net-on-net, the company is likely to report EPS of $0.3 for Q3 2011 compared with $-1.06 in Q3 2010.