Join        Login             Stock Quote

What The Market Wants: This Could Be THE Week

 March 12, 2012 11:12 PM

The S&P 500 really cut it close today.  Much like last Friday's measly comeback for +0.1% gain for the week, it gained +0.22 points, up a whopping +0.016%.

This performance was seen across many indices. If you added up the changes in all major markets over the past 24 hours, you will get very close to zero!  Hang Seng up +0.2%, Nikkei down -0.4%, Shanghai down -0.2%, FTSE 100 up +0.09%, DAX up +0.31%, CAC 40 up +0.07%, NASDAQ down -0.16%,and the  DJIA up +0.29%.  Wow, the Dow was the place to be!

Ok, trying to get serious.  There was an alarming lack of action, as volume was abysmally low.  The NYSE didn't even reach 650M shares!  There was simply was no important news that impacted the market.

Maybe the market will increase its participation later this week when we get retail sales numbers tomorrow along with business inventories and, perhaps most important, FOMC minutes.  Wednesday, we get another look at prices through the lenses of export and import prices. Thursday, brings another look at initial jobless claims along with the Producer Price Index (PPI).  And Friday, we get yet another look at prices through the Consumer Price Index (CPI) (will there be inflation?). On Friday, we also get the important industrial production figure along with capacity utilization.

[Related -Fusion-IO, Inc. (FIO): Can Fusion-IO Q2 Results Cheer Street?]

While last week's economic data provided little pockets of positive news (ADP Employment, initial jobless claims, and ISM) along with little pockets of negative news  (factory orders, consumer credit, and weak European GDP), perhaps this week will provide something more concrete for investors. Now that the markets continue to hang near their highest levels in recent years and valuations generally remain quite reasonable (assuming modest continued domestic growth), we may finally break through the chart's technical barriers; but, if inflation rears its head or other economic news largely disappoints, we could lose our gains of the past 2 months. This could be THE week!

[Related -General Electric Company (GE) Q4 Earnings Preview: Feeling The January Effect]

If so, it isn't clear whether the direction, if upward, will be in Small-caps, which led last week regaining all of its past month's loss rising +1.9% in the value category, or if it will return to the Large-cap Growth style, while down -0.4% as last week's loser, has led the last month gaining +1.9%.  Consider Apple's (AAPL) new iPad release or General Electric's (GE) highly positive guidance of double digit global revenue growth.

Will the sector of choice be last week's leader, Consumer Discretionary (up +1.24%), or the Sabrient Outlook leading sector, Finance (see tables)?  Of course, if the market falls sharply it would likely be led by last month's loser Basic Materials and Small-cap stocks.

Next Page >>12


Post Comment -- Login is required to post message
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:

rss feed

Latest Stories

article imageBogle Says Indexing Destined To Win The Battle Of The Quants

Vanguard founder John Bogle gave a powerful speech last month at the Q Group’s Spring Seminar that lays out read on...

article imageVMAX and VMIN Poised to Be Most Important VIX ETP Launch in Years

REX Shares is launching two new VIX exchange-traded products on Tuesday in what is likely to be the most read on...

article imageThe April 29 Gold Triangle Breakout Update

If you’re just watching stocks, you may be missing this powerful Triangle Breakout surge in read on...

article imageSell In May, But It Is A Presidential Election Year

With May just around the corner, articles covering the "Sell in May' phenomenon are not in short supply and read on...

Popular Articles

Daily Sector Scan
Partner Center

Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, and Commentary, news and Press Releases provided by YellowBrix and Quotemedia.
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. iStockAnalyst.com is not an investment adviser and does not provide, endorse or review any information or data contained herein.
The blog articles are opinions by respective blogger. By using this site you are agreeing to terms and conditions posted on respective bloggers' website.
The postings/comments on the site may or may not be from reliable sources. Neither iStockAnalyst nor any of its independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You are solely responsible for the investment decisions made by you and the consequences resulting therefrom. By accessing the iStockAnalyst.com site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.
The sector scan is based on 15-30 minutes delayed data. The Pattern scan is based on EOD data.