Stock Quote        
  Join        Login  
logo

Unseasonably Warm Weather, Early Easter Bolster March Comps

 April 06, 2012 11:17 PM
 

Bolstered by a combination of unseasonably warm weather across much of the country and an early Easter, most retailers saw robust sales gains in March as shoppers snapped up spring merchandise earlier in the season than they normally would.

Total net sales for the 21 chains that reported increased 6.0% from a year ago to $35.7 billion in March, while same-store sales rose 4.4% on top of a 2.6% gain last year – this was the 31st straight monthly rise after 12 consecutive months of declines.

Excluding drug stores, as Walgreens saw a steep decline due to the loss of the Express Scripts network, total sales increased 8.7% and same-store sales jumped 6.8% from the year-ago period. Over the last 12 months, consolidated sales increased 6.9% while same-store sales rose 5.0% on top of a 3.3% gain last year.

Easter fell 16 days earlier this year than last, and temperatures across much of the country were extraordinarily warm in March, continuing the trend we have seen since Thanksgiving. According to Planalytics, a company that quantifies weather impacts on economic activity, more than 7,500 warm temperature records were set in March. However, the pacific region had its coldest March since 1977, and many cities are still feeling the freeze.

Nonetheless, these factors combined to drive very strong foot traffic and sales, especially at discounters and clothing stores. We are seeing a lot more full-priced selling of apparel and seasonal merchandise in the first quarter compared to heavy promotional activity over the holiday season, which should help improve retailers' margins.

However, because of the calendar shift and the weather effect, it's too early to tell how much sales were pulled into March from April. Last year, many chains saw comp declines in March and double-digit gains in April – overall same-store sales rose 2.6% last March and 8.8% last April – expect similar results this year.

click on company below for detailed monthly performance data

March Chain Store Sales ScorecardSame-Store Sales Chg
Company/SegmentSales (1,000's)YoY ChgMar-12Mar-11TTM-12TTM-11
Bon-Ton$ 254,100-0.2%-0.1%-6.1%-2.1%-0.5%
The Buckle$ 105,5008.9%6.4%8.4%9.3%1.4%
Cato$ 103,9006.7%5.0%-9.0%-0.1%0.0%
Costco$ 9,130,0009.6%6.0%13.0%9.8%7.8%
    excluding gas & f/x6.0%8.0%7.0%4.9%
Duckwall-ALCO$ 45,0003.9%2.3%0.4%3.2%-2.0%
Fred's$ 194,0002.7%0.0%0.7%0.4%1.7%
Gap$ 1,460,0009.8%8.0%-10.0%-0.8%-0.3%
    Gap North Am9.0%-9.0%-2.0%-1.5%
    Banana Republic NA5.0%-8.0%1.4%1.2%
    Old Navy NA11.0%-12.0%-0.3%0.0%
    International2.0%-9.0%-6.1%0.2%
Kohl's$ 1,815,0005.3%3.6%-6.5%1.3%2.1%
Limited Brands$ 840,900-2.6%8.0%14.0%9.1%9.8%
    Bath & Body Works6.0%8.0%5.8%5.1%
    Victoria's Secret10.0%19.0%12.9%14.2%
    VS Direct3.0%8.0%3.6%8.3%
    La Senza1.0%-7.0%-1.5%-1.9%
Macy's$ 2,358,0006.9%7.3%0.9%5.8%4.0%
    E-Commerce39.0%34.8%39.7%27.8%
Nordstrom$ 1,029,00014.7%8.6%5.1%7.7%6.9%
    Full-Line & Direct9.3%5.5%8.6%8.1%
    Rack Stores7.3%-0.1%4.6%0.5%
Rite Aid$ 1,989,0005.2%3.6%-0.1%2.3%-0.7%
    Front End4.6%-1.8%1.6%-0.5%
    Pharmacy3.2%0.8%2.6%-0.7%
Ross Stores$ 955,00015.3%10.0%-1.0%6.7%3.4%
Saks$ 276,5006.3%6.3%11.1%8.7%7.3%
Stage Stores$ 144,1007.5%4.7%-5.3%2.4%-1.2%
Stein Mart$ 127,5000.4%-0.3%-3.9%-1.1%-0.9%
Target$ 6,427,0007.9%7.3%-5.5%4.7%0.8%
TJX$ 2,330,00014.2%10.0%-1.0%5.4%2.0%
Walgreen$ 6,020,000-4.3%-6.8%3.0%1.2%1.8%
    Front End2.5%1.2%1.6%3.1%1.4%
    Pharmacy-8.4%-11.1%3.7%0.1%2.0%
Wet Seal$ 58,600-5.0%-7.8%4.7%-0.5%0.4%
    Wet Seal$ 50,000-4.2%-7.6%6.4%0.2%0.6%
    Arden B$ 8,600-10.1%-8.6%-4.6%-5.0%-0.8%
Zumiez$ 50,90023.5%14.1%8.9%9.5%11.8%
Total Stores$ 35,714,0006.0%4.4%2.6%5.0%3.3%

Rich
i On The Market - Daily Newsletter
Every trading day, be ready to attack the market instead of reacting to the market.

You will know where the key technical resistance and support levels are and what the market is likely to do next. iStock will arm you with a target list of stocks to buy and sell - right now - based on our exclusive, proprietary trading models.

Two Week FREE Trial


Signup for i on the market daily edition


Advertisement

Post Comment -- Login is required to post message
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
 

Advertisement
Connect with iStockAnalyst
Popular Articles
Recent Research and Quote
Advertisement
Partner Center



Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, and Commentary, news and Press Releases provided by YellowBrix and Quotemedia.
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. iStockAnalyst.com is not an investment adviser and does not provide, endorse or review any information or data contained herein.
The blog articles are opinions by respective blogger. By using this site you are agreeing to terms and conditions posted on respective bloggers' website.
The postings/comments on the site may or may not be from reliable sources. Neither iStockAnalyst nor any of its independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You are solely responsible for the investment decisions made by you and the consequences resulting therefrom. By accessing the iStockAnalyst.com site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.
The sector scan is based on 15-30 minutes delayed data. The Pattern scan is based on EOD data.