logo
  Join        Login             Stock Quote

Employment Data: Structural Issues Remain To Complicate Outlook

 May 04, 2012 01:12 PM


(By R. Chandrasekaran) The job data announced by the Government has disappointed economists as well as market men. Though there are gains from sectors such as manufacturing, health, education and business services, there are some weakness in construction and government that resulted in smaller than predicted gains. There are also structural issues that remain and could complicate the outlook further.

In the last three months, job gains averaged 176K with the private sector witnessing 183K average jobs. In the same period, manufacturing gains averaged 31,000, while the private service sector jobs averaged 111K. Construction employment would have benefited from the seasonal factors in the initial months, and it was likely that some payback was witnessed in March and April.

[Related -Xerox Corp. (XRX): An Insider’s $500,000 Insider Buy]

Though there seemed to have been cyclical recovery or expansion with more jobs in manufacturing as well as non-manufacturing, the recovery is below par as State and local government witnesses restructuring, economist from Wells Fargo wrote in a research note.

Importantly, income growth maintains the modest job gains thus suggesting consumer spending supports sustained economic growth. But the rate of gains remains slower compared to the previous two economic expansions, according to Wells Fargo economist. Aggregate worked hours grew 0.1 percent and 2.1 percent on a yearly basis in the last three months. In the meantime, average hourly earnings witnessed 1.8 percent year-over-year.

Meanwhile, long-term jobless and a falling participation rate remain issues. This was evident in the continued elevated level of the median duration of jobless and the lowest participation pace after 1979. The extension of jobless gains has also some influence on jobless duration. The larger the issue suggests that many labors don't have the required skill sets for employers in the location where they are seeking jobs. This also causes long spells of jobless or a withdrawal from the labor force, views Wells Fargo.

[Related -Qihoo 360 Technology Co Ltd. (QIHU) Q2 Earnings Preview: A Green Monday]

The wider difference in jobless by education also reflects the changed state of labor demand versus the romanticized labor market of 30 years following the World War II. At that point of time, there was outsized demand for low and semi-skilled workers as a result of post-war consumer boom and limited gains from technology. This has completely diminished currently. This structural issue clearly suggests that there should be job-specific skills development. Given the current situation, the structural issues will continue to remain and could make the outlook difficult.

iOnTheMarket Premium
Advertisement

Advertisement


Post Comment -- Login is required to post message
Name:  
Alert for new comments:
Your email:
Your Website:
Title:
Comments:
 

rss feed

Latest Stories

article imageMBIA Inc. (MBI) : BTI's $12 a Tough Task

MBIA Inc. (NYSE:MBI) is doing well on a day stocks are struggling The guarantee insurance company is the read on...

article imageUrban Outfitters, Inc. (URBN) Q2 Earnings Preview: A Snug Fit

Urban Outfitters, Inc. (NASDAQ:URBN) will hold a webcast to discuss its second quarter of fiscal-year 2015 read on...

article imageEstee Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) Q4 Earnings Preview: Options Player Betting On EL’s EPS Looking Pretty

Estee Lauder Companies Inc. (NYSE:EL) will release fiscal 2014 fourth quarter and full year financial read on...

article imageHerbalife Ltd. (HLF): 3 Reasons To Pay Attention to Recent Insider Buying

Well, well, well… it looks as if boardroom buyers viewed the recent selloff as an opportunity to buy. read on...

Advertisement
Popular Articles

Advertisement
Daily Sector Scan
Partner Center



Fundamental data is provided by Zacks Investment Research, and Commentary, news and Press Releases provided by YellowBrix and Quotemedia.
All information provided "as is" for informational purposes only, not intended for trading purposes or advice. iStockAnalyst.com is not an investment adviser and does not provide, endorse or review any information or data contained herein.
The blog articles are opinions by respective blogger. By using this site you are agreeing to terms and conditions posted on respective bloggers' website.
The postings/comments on the site may or may not be from reliable sources. Neither iStockAnalyst nor any of its independent providers is liable for any informational errors, incompleteness, or delays, or for any actions taken in reliance on information contained herein. You are solely responsible for the investment decisions made by you and the consequences resulting therefrom. By accessing the iStockAnalyst.com site, you agree not to redistribute the information found therein.
The sector scan is based on 15-30 minutes delayed data. The Pattern scan is based on EOD data.