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Verizon/T-Mobile Spectrum Deal: Positive For Leap, Negative For Clearwire

 June 27, 2012 10:12 AM
 

(By Mani) The recently announced spectrum deal between Verizon Communications, Inc. (NYSE:VZ) and T-Mobile USA have significant implications for the U.S. telecom industry. The deal is subject to regulatory approval by the Federal Communications Commission and the Department of Justice.

The deal, if approved, is considered as a positive for these two operators and Leap Wireless International, Inc. (NASDAQ:LEAP) as it improves their ability to deploy LTE.

Following regulatory approval, T-Mobile would use this spectrum to augment its 4G mobile broadband service, including the rollout of LTE service next year.

Meanwhile, the deal also bodes well for tower operators such as American Tower Corp. (NYSE:AMT), Crown Castle International Corp. (NYSE:CCL) and SBA Communications Corp. (NASDAQ:SBAC) as it improves T-Mobile' ability to upgrade its network to LTE.

However, the deal could be negative for other carriers looking to sell spectrum or wholesale capacity to T-Mobile, such as Clearwire Corp. (NASDAQ:CLWR).

Regulators are expected to approve all of Verizon's pending spectrum transactions by the end of the summer. These approvals should shine light on what conditions are necessary in order for carriers to execute spectrum deals.

"This has implications for DISH as it will help investors understand its options for monetizing is extensive spectrum holdings, such as potentially selling them to a major wireless carrier (as has been reported in the media)," Deutsche Bank analyst Brett Feldman wrote in a note to clients.

Verizon and T-Mobile USA have agreed to a series of spectrum deals under which T-Mobile would buy Advanced Wireless Services (AWS) spectrum licenses in markets covering 20 percent of the US population (60 million POPs) in exchange for licenses covering 22 million POPs and cash.

The transaction will improve T-Mobile's spectrum position in 15 of the top 25 markets in the U.S. by providing an opportunity for T-Mobile both to acquire additional AWS spectrum and to realign its existing spectrum holdings.

The release did not provide any financial information, including the valuation assigned to, or the average depth of, the spectrum being sold, exchanged and swapped. But, experts believe the licenses are mostly 10 MHz (5x5 MHz) or 20 MHz (10x10) blocks.

Some of the spectrum T-Mobile is acquiring include licenses that Verizon is buying from SpectrumCo, Cox and Leap Wireless, and the agreement is contingent on the closing of those transactions.

"Collectively, all of VZ's pending spectrum transactions should improve the spectrum position of VZ as well as the portfolios of smaller spectrum constrained carriers such as LEAP and TMUS. In our view, this increases the likelihood that the VZ/cable deals receive regulatory approval as TMUS was a key opponent of these transactions," Feldman added.


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