(By Rich Bieglmeier) Stocks could be positioned to move south. The Dow and S&P have bearish MACD crossovers on their charts. At the same time, the Dow has dropped to its 26-day average and the S&P to its 12-day average. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ is yet to experience a similar fate.
If you connect pivot bottoms for the indexes, it is easy to see any of the three tradings as low as their 50-day averages. For the NASDAQ it is 2,944, the Dow's 50-day is 12,895 and 1,369 for the S&P.
Although stocks might backup, as long as the big three stay above the bottom guardrail, the uptrend remains intact. It's just an intermediate wave within a larger move. We'll monitor it closely and relay our thoughts as things develop.
Before the market opens Friday, Durable Goods Orders will be announced. The Street anticipates a gain of 1.9% for the month. A result above zero would make three consecutive months in positive territory, something Durable Goods hasn't accomplished in more than two years.
iStock sees the trend for Durable Goods rising and expects to see Friday's report make it three in a row; however, we aren't sure that it will be strong enough to push stocks up a big hill, maybe a tiny one.
As we like to do to close every week, below you find our iEstimates for the week ahead and a review of our projections from the week that was versus reality.
Have a great weekend!
|Brown Shoe Co||BWS||8/27/2012||$0.03||$0.04 ||$0.01 ||33.33%|
|Ltx-Credence Cp||LTXC||8/28/2012||$0.03||$0.09 ||$0.06 ||200.00%|
|Greenway Medicl||GWAY||8/28/2012||$0.09||$0.10 ||$0.01 ||11.11%|
| Genesco Inc||GCO||8/28/2012||$0.26||$0.29 ||$0.03 ||11.54%|
|Dycom Inds||DY||8/28/2012||$0.41||$0.45 ||$0.04 ||9.73%|
|Ciena Corp||CIEN||8/29/2012||-$0.02||$0.00 ||$0.02 ||100.00%|
|Collective Brnd||PSS||8/29/2012||$0.22||$0.25 ||$0.03 ||13.64% |
|Cubic Corp||CUB||8/31/2012||$0.75||$0.79 ||$0.04 ||5.33%|
How did we do last week?
|Focus Media Hld||FMCN||8/20/2012||$0.47||$0.48||$0.01||2.13%||0.62|
|Aspen Tech Inc||AZPN||8/21/2012||-$0.07||-$0.06||$0.01||14.29%||-0.04|
|Raven Inds Inc||RAVN||8/21/2012||$0.38||$0.39||$0.01||2.63%||0.34|
|Pac Sunwear Cal||PSUN||8/22/2012||-$0.12||-$0.10||$0.02||16.67%||-0.08|