Wow, did not realize hadn't put anything new on this board since July. I
do analyze every ipo for subscribers at tradingipos.com(and have for 7
1/2 year now), however stopped marketing advertising the site as we've
already a great core group of traders. Will try and add a few more of
these pieces here in 2013 than I did in 2012 though.
SXCP - SunCoke Energy Partners
SXCP - SunCoke Energy Partners plans on offering 14.4 million units at a
range of $19-$21. Barclays, BofA Merrill Lynch, Citi, Credit Suisse and
JP Morgan are leading the deal, four firms co-managing. Post-ipo SXCP
will have 32 million units outstanding for a market cap of $640 million.
Note that ipo proceeds and an additional $150 million debt offering will
go to repay debt with 10% also going to parent company SXC.
[Related -Hewlett-Packard Company (HPQ) Q3 Earnings Preview: Margins the Difference]
SunCoke Energy(SXC) will own all non-floated units and the general
partnership. SXC was spun off from Sunoco in 2011 and is the largest
independent producer of coke in the Americas. SXC owns and operates five
cokemaking facilities in the US(including the two in this deal).
SXC is structuring part of their coke production into this partnership structure to help the balance sheet.
Distributions - SXCP plans on distributing $0.4125 per quarter to
unitholders. On an annualized $1.65, SXCP would yield 8.25% on a pricing
From the prospectus:
' We have been recently formed to acquire, at the closing of this
offering, an interest in each of two entities that own our sponsor's
Haverhill and Middletown cokemaking facilities and related assets, which
will result in us owning a 65% interest in each of these entities.'
[Related -American Express Company (NYSE:AXP): No Longer an Endangered Species]
65% interest in two cokemaking facilities. The two facilities are among
the youngest cokemaking facilities in the US having been in operation at
current capacity since 2008 and 2011 respectively. Each are expected to
be in operation at least 30 years.
Coke is the principal raw material in the blast furnace steelmaking process.
300 combined cokemaking ovens at the two facilities. 1.7 million tons
capacity a year. Operates at full capacity and expects to sell 1.7
million tons in 2013 to AK Steel and ArcelorMittal.
Agreements with two customers have remaining average term left of 13
years. Take or pay agreements. Agreements also include the pass through
costs of coal procurement, operating and maintenance costs,
transportation costs, taxes and regulation costs. In other words, SXCP
has a guaranteed margin in their agreements which should help in
forecasting consistent cash flows something you like to see in
Coke demand in the US/Canada was 19.5 million tons in 2011. Slow growth
sector, expecting 1%-2% annual growth over the next five years.
Approximately 24% of US/Canada capacity comes from facilities that are
over 40 years old.
Future dropdowns - SXCP has been granted preferential rights to SXC
growth projects and/or acquisitions. Currently SXC is seeking permits
for a new facility with 660,000 tons of cokemaking capacity in Kentucky.
Project at earliest is a few years away from potential start up
Balance sheet here is not too bad. $129 million in cash on hand, which
will help fund environmental remediation and accrued sales discounts. In
addition SXCP will have $150 million in debt. All in all, not bad.
Coming just 1.1 X's book value.
Twelve months ending 9/30/12 - $694 million in revenue. Pretty solid
operating margins of 10%. Pro forma interest expense ate up just 12% of
operating profits. EPS of $2.00 per unit.
2013 projections - $657 million in revenues a decrease of 5% from 2012.
Forecasting strong 13.6% net margins after interest expense(again 12% of
operating profits). Note that a chunk of those improved net margins are
due to sales discounts not included. Adjusted 2013 earnings should
match 2012's $2.00 which factors in the 35% of net earnings that SXC
SXCP is forecasting 115% distribution coverage. That does include $37
million cash on hand used for environmental remediation and accrued
sales discount expenses. SXCP is planning on using cash to pay for
Conclusion - solid 8.25% annual yield(on a pricing of $20). SXC is
setting this up to work out well mid-term+ here by not loading up the
SXCP balance sheet with debt. In fact SXC is allowing SXCP to utilize
90% of the ipo proceeds to reduce debt. Would not expect much here short
term, deal looks pretty solid overall though. Slight recommend here due
to solid cash flows. Parent company has substantial debt, so not
something to get too excited about.