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Chasing The Market: Smaller Laggards

Thu, 24 Sep 2009 05:18:48 GMT

Is this what you are looking for? Playing "Catch-up"? My article from last weekend, "15 [More...]

August 2009 Same-Store Sales Summary

Thu, 03 Sep 2009 17:55:11 GMT

Over 30 retailers reported monthly sales results for August over the past two days. While many areas of the economy have been showing relative improvement over the past few months, there have been few bright spots in retail. However, August results provide some hope that things are finally starting to turn around.[More...]

Taking A Look At The Bearish Case

Mon, 17 Aug 2009 12:53:00 GMT

On Friday evening, I posted a number of charts for potential long trades. Index chart are currently trading in a 10 day range, and dip buyers have been active. On the other hand, we saw some distribution Friday morning, and some other factors indicate a top may be forming. Corey Rosenbloom points out that the S&P is forming a "rounded arc" pattern, along with a negative breadth divergence. Now, the oscillator is making new momentum lows, and the peaks in the oscillator are forming lower highs as price formed higher highs - that’s the sign of a classic non-confirmation which can be a bearish signal. The fact that price is forming a clean ‘arc’ pattern also has bearish implications, given that arcs represent[More...]

3 Stocks That Offer Growth And Income - Investment Ideas

Fri, 29 May 2009 16:03:39 GMT

Holding stable large-cap names that reward shareholders with income should be staples in a well-diversified portfolio during any kind of market. So today, I decided to review some of our recent Growth and Income picks.[More...]

Retailers: Better Forecasts; Tough Conditions

Wed, 27 May 2009 15:54:52 GMT

Two pieces of data point to a better outlook for retailers: consumer confidence and earnings estimates. The Conference Board's May consumer confidence index spiked to 54.9 in May, it's highest level since last September. Behind the increase was a 21.3-point jump in the Expectations Index, from 51.0 to 72.3. This suggests that consumers believe economic conditions will likely improve in the future. Full-year earnings estimates for the retail sector continue to revised higher. During the past 4 weeks, 3 profit forecasts have been revised higher for every projection that has been cut - the strongest ratio of any sector. Within the sector, the largest number of positive revisions have occurred in Retail-Apparel/Shoe, Retail-Regional Department Store and [More...]

Teen Retail: Sell In May, And Go Far, Far Away

Sun, 24 May 2009 19:26:10 GMT

We all know consumption is the most prominent victim of this recession. Not only do we have to deal with soaring unemployment and tightening credit, but also the behavioral shift in America of spending less as a percentage of income. Obviously these factors are going to disproportionately hurt the sub sectors with the highest priced goods, or those considered the most discretionary such as luxury cars, high-end women’s clothing, etc. One sub-sector that will surely feel tremendous pain, however, is teen retail. It is common knowledge the national unemployment rate is expected to reach 10% or higher in the foreseeable future. This is well known, and priced in to most retail stocks. When you break unemployment down by age, however, a very grim signal for teenage spending in particular emerges. According to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, the current[More...]

10 Large Retailers:Q1 Stronger Than Expected

Fri, 08 May 2009 14:47:00 GMT

You've consistently read here that retail consumers are renewing their propensity to buy in 2009. Yesterday's same-store results represented the strongest evidence yet. Here is a list of 10 top retailers that essentially said, "Our Q1 was much stronger than we originally[More...]

A Retail Reversal

Wed, 08 Apr 2009 06:37:00 GMT

Anyone who reads this blog knows my affinity for retail stocks, particularly apparel retailers. Simple businesses with measurable demand yet so complex and diverse in execution and strategy. More importantly, retail stocks can be quite volatile as investors fall in and out of love with the stocks almost as quickly as consumers fall in and out of love with various fashion trends. Just a few months ago, I wrote about how investors have unfairly punished retail stocks over the last year. In the last few weeks, we’ve seen just how quickly they’re willing to pile right back in. In fact, on a technical basis, many are showing signs of strong[More...]

Invest With Main Street

Tue, 31 Mar 2009 09:06:00 GMT

With all the recent hub-bub about “Wall Street vs. Main Street,” maybe its time investors start taking stock of what Main Street wants. After all, it’s consumer demand which ultimately drives those sales numbers that seem to have been in free fall. Warren Buffett once described his philosophy of looking for businesses with “wide moats” that protect their operations. Buffett was speaking of looking for enduring competitive advantages. Normally, we think of competitive advantages as traditional economic advantages - high switching costs or cost leadership. But, in a market where consumers are pulling back and thinking long and hard about where to spend their hard earned dollars. The firms most likely to retain and capture market share are the ones which deliver more than economic value to their customers. Companies must deliver compelling value. Value is more than just low prices or high quality. It’s perception and experience. This is why companies like[More...]

One Scary Unemployment Chart

Mon, 09 Feb 2009 16:49:00 GMT

Thanks to reader Linda for sending this chart; as they say a picture is a worth 1000 words. What we show below is the number of job losses VERSUS the peak employment level.... i.e. how many are lost versus the highwater mark in employment. As I was stating throughout 2008 as the "bottom pickers" were telling us to buy stocks, "they" were using the wrong playbook. Most market participants under the age of 50 have been living in a world of corporate led recessions... not a consumer led recession. This is why (even if you exclude the financial destruction) this was going to be something akin to the early 80s or late 70s - the last consumer led recession. And I'd argue in the few decades since our economy has transformed even more to a "service based" economy which is dependent on people shopping - so it's an even more perverse loop to the downside than if we had similar conditions in the late 70s or early 80s. Now, anyone who[More...]

Worries persist despite some retail sales strength

Wed, 14 Oct 2009 21:50:00 GMT

WASHINGTON - Retail sales outside of autos showed surprising strength in September, but economists worry the rebound in all-important consumer spending will be short-lived as American families contend with rising unemployment and tight credit.
Many economists saw that as a sign that Americans are starting to spend again, a critical development for any recovery since consumer spending accounts for 70 percent of total economic activity.
Retail sales actually fell 1.5 percent last month, the Commerce Department said Wednesday, a plunge that reflected the end of the government's popular Cash for Clunkers program.

: iStockAnalyst.com Symbols Feed

Chasing The Market: Smaller Laggards

August 2009 Same-Store Sales Summary

Taking A Look At The Bearish Case

3 Stocks That Offer Growth And Income - Investment Ideas

Retailers: Better Forecasts; Tough Conditions

Teen Retail: Sell In May, And Go Far, Far Away

10 Large Retailers:Q1 Stronger Than Expected

A Retail Reversal

Invest With Main Street

One Scary Unemployment Chart

Worries persist despite some retail sales strength

Sept. retail sales fall 1.5 percent post Clunkers

Hopes High for Holidays

Retailers' Hopes Rise: Target and Several Other Retailers Raised Quarterly Profit Outlooks on September Sales That Were Relatively Strong -- at Least in This Economy.

Retailers' Hopes Rise: Target and Several Other Retailers Raised Quarterly Profit Outlooks on September Sales That Were Relatively Strong -- at Least in This Economy.

Retailers see sales begin to recover in September

Retail sales fall in August, but drops are easing

Retailers report sales declines for August

Weak retail report cards likely, analysts say

Weak retail report cards likely for back-to-school

RidgewaterEquity.Com Free Fundamental Sector &Amp; Market Research on MRX, RPM, BKE, NMR, BLL and SSL

The Buckle, Inc. Reports Second Quarter Net Income

The Buckle, Inc. Reports July 2009 Net Sales

The Buckle, Inc. Reports June 2009 Net Sales

The Buckle, Inc. Reports May 2009 Net Sales

The Buckle, Inc. Reports Quarterly Dividend

The Buckle, Inc. Reports 43.5% Increase in First Quarter Net Income

The Buckle, Inc. Reports April 2009 Net Sales

The Buckle, Inc. to Present at Susquehanna Financial Group 4th Annual Consumer Focus Forum

The Buckle, Inc. Reports March 2009 Net Sales

Form 4 BUCKLE INC For: Oct 19 Filed by: HANSON KYLE (10K)

Form 4 HANSON KYLE For: Jul 20 (10K)

Form 4 HUSS MICHAEL E For: May 29 (10K)

Form 3 HUSS MICHAEL E For: May 29 (10K)

Form 4 NELSON DENNIS H For: Jun 01 (10K)

Form 4 BUCKLE INC For: May 29 Filed by: ROEHR DAVID (10K)

Form 4 TYSDAL RALPH M For: May 29 (10K)

Form 4 NELSON DENNIS H For: May 27 (10K)

Form 4 NELSON DENNIS H For: May 22 (10K)

Form 4 RHOADS KAREN B For: May 01 (10K)