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Consolidation Phase Favors Bulls

Sat, 13 Jun 2009 16:40:10 GMT

Taking a look at index and sector ETF charts, most consolidated during the past week. Until price breaks out of consolidation, neither bulls nor bears hold the advantage. At the same time, the dominant trend is still higher, and support levels are generally closer to current price than are resistance levels. - SPY consolidated under the 95.00 level this week. Price has support around the 90.00 area in the form of the 50 and 200 day moving averages, which are about to cross in a bullish fashion. Last week's high was 96.11. A break above that level should squeeze the shorts. [More...]

Dave Fry's Comments for May 11

Mon, 11 May 2009 22:42:52 GMT

MARKET COMMENT May 11, 2009 This image again?!? Yeah, well it’s another one of those Mondays. We’ve had a bunch of them over the past two months.[More...]

Dave Fry's Market Comments For April 28

Tue, 28 Apr 2009 22:25:58 GMT

MARKET COMMENT April 28, 2009 I wish my Money & Banking class in college was this easy—hell, even gym was hard by comparison to current bank stress tests. Basically it’s an open book test allowing banks to set their own evaluations on some toxic waste and hope investors take it all in stride. The false and misleading statements from CEOs like BAC CEO Ken Lewis are, in ordinary times, shocking. These days it passes for business as usual.[More...]

Dave Fry's Market Comments For April 27

Tue, 28 Apr 2009 00:59:26 GMT

MARKET COMMENT April 27, 2009 I’ve been posting this image quite a bit recently since the past few Monday’s have been busts. There wasn’t much to cheer about so using a swine flu outbreak panic was a good reason to sell. It seems there are plenty of reasons to sell: light volume, high PEs, the BS (or, what you don’t know can’t hurt you) from Fed bank “stress tests”, the big run-up we’ve had in prices, auto bankruptcies and so forth. As you can see volume remains comparatively weak while breadth was negative today.[More...]

Dave Fry's Market Comments For April 15

Wed, 15 Apr 2009 23:10:15 GMT

MARKET COMMENT April 15, 2009 Some talking heads were cheering the Fed’s Beige Book which offered a “glimmer” of hope that the worst was over and we’ve bottomed. More likely it was more pumping of financials led by JPM in anticipation of stronger than expected (who knew?) earnings. Look, the bulls still are in control and they’ll latch-on to whatever works for them.[More...]

Dave Fry's Market Comments For April 14

Wed, 15 Apr 2009 00:43:51 GMT

MARKET COMMENT April 14, 2009 Goldman Sachs posts great earnings last night derived primarily from its own proprietary “trading” activities. It’s easy to connect the dots between these results and using TARP money courtesy of you and me. Then they do a secondary stock offering at a relatively high price (drive the price sharply higher, then discount it) to payback taxpayers. (What?[More...]

The Wagner Daily - March 10, 2009

Tue, 10 Mar 2009 08:16:58 GMT

For the second straight day, stocks got off to a higher start, but promptly turned tail and headed south throughout the rest of the day. This time, there was no last-minute rally to minimize market losses.[More...]

Dave Fry's Market Comments For January 7

Wed, 07 Jan 2009 22:17:00 GMT

MARKET COMMENT January 7, 2009 The McClellan Oscillator was sending a warning to investors this past week as it hit a contemporary high record. This is why we had such timid positions. So we lost substantial amounts in some individual positions but overall gave back only about 1%. As much as you want to jump in with both feet you have to pay attention to these kinds of warnings and keep most of your powder dry.[More...]

Dave Fry's Market Comments For January 5

Mon, 05 Jan 2009 23:35:00 GMT

MARKET COMMENT January 5, 2009 Part 1 Part 2 Color today, sloppy. Volume is still on the light side as investors may be slow to return to work. Breadth was positive even with negative headline numbers. Despite all notifications of ridiculously poor mathematical calculations Yahoo/Finance still can’t seem to get things right as you’ll note below.[More...]

Dave Fry's Market Comments For December 22

Mon, 22 Dec 2008 22:25:00 GMT

MARKET COMMENT December 22, 2008 This is no way to start the holiday week is it? The only folks pleased by today’s action are those driving a Hummer and/or snowmobiling. This type of action is why Chicken Dave still maintains high cash balances at the ETF Digest. Bulls will cheer the light volume today as no big thing but you should expect this type of action in either direction until trading resumes after the New Year.[More...]