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Restaurant Investing: Indigestion Ahead

Mon, 10 Aug 2009 01:29:33 GMT

A year ago, I highlighted the fast casual restaurant segment favorably, suggesting these chains would benefit from falling input costs and a slowdown in expansion. Most of the stocks mentioned are higher today despite the overall market being down. I followed that article up a few days later with a explanation of why I bought BJ's Restaurants (BJRI), which turned out to be a real winner. While most of the stocks mentioned are up, the path wasn't so straight, as all of these stocks were hammered in the October massacre. I had alluded to the too-high debt levels of many of these companies, and those were the[More...]

Junk Stock Rally Case Study: PF Chang’s (PFCB)

Tue, 28 Apr 2009 19:25:50 GMT

The less-worse trade is in the late innings. We’re at valuation levels where things have to start growing in order to maintain momentum in the stock. - Mitchell Speiser (subscription required), Analyst, Buckingham Research, who has a Sell rating on PF Chang’s, quoted in “Is This Stock Overcooked? Restuarant stocks are getting frothy, perhaps none more than PF Chang’s” (subscription required), Barron’s, April 27 PF Chang’s China Bistro (PFCB) is an excellent case study in the junk quality of the 7+ week rally since March 9th. The stock closed at $17.39 on March 6th. It is currently trading around $32 -[More...]

Not So Fast PF Chang's (NASDAQ GS:PFCB)?

Tue, 28 Apr 2009 16:58:18 GMT

Last week I did some work on the casual restaurant chains, and their recent strong performance. This was posted over at Fund My Mutual Fund. For the full analysis of PF Chang's and others, head over there. The thesis here is that restaurants are boosting quarterly earnings by cutting costs and taking advantage of lower commodity prices and decreased analyst expectations. I just wanted to follow up a bit here as I read a Barron's Article this morning about PF Chang's. They are basically taking the same viewpoint as mine, that shares are getting a little too high, and that it will be tough to sustain earnings in the current fashion. PF Chang's has been among the leading beneficiaries of overeager investors.[More...]

The Meek Continue To Dominate Equities

Mon, 27 Apr 2009 05:49:10 GMT

Early in April after a month long run off the bottom I posted a list of equities that gained at least 60% in the preceding 4 weeks (Apr 5: The Meek Shall Inherit the Earth: 92 Stocks Over $10 Returning 60%+) The list was a whose who of beaten down merchandise. Generally, by week 4-5 of an oversold rally these type of names begin to peter out but the ramp has been relentless in lower quality, low price stocks. My gut tells me quant (and other varieties) of hedge funds have been shorting these names, using fundamental reasons - expecting some pullback after huge runs - only to be run over again and again even in week 6 and 7 of this rally. All it takes nowadays is saying "business has stabilized at the worst levels we've seen in decades" to elicit glee and massive short covering rallies. While the market was flattish last week, I[More...]

Short Ideas For Wednesday

Wed, 05 Nov 2008 14:45:00 GMT

Stocks continue to trend higher, and dip buyers have shown no reluctance to step up when required. Underneath the stock market action yesterday, we can see that the US dollar lost ground on increasing volume. Oil, gold, and silver were particularly strong yesterday. The move in oil looks particularly bullish here, definitively breaking out of a downtrend with high volume. [More...]

Keep An Eye on XLF, XHB, XLY and XLE for Rally Strength

Mon, 21 Jul 2008 18:02:00 GMT

We discussed about the VIX and I gave my opinion that the market could turn last week. For the last few days, we've been seeing rallies in the market, especially in the weak oversold sectors like Financials, Homebuilders and Consumer Discretionary. We've also seen continued sell-off in Coal and Steel sectors after brief spell of consolidation. As I said on 9 Jul, watch for a retest to go short or get some Put Options. It retested and broke down again last week, hope you caught some of the action.What about the week ahead? The major trend is still to the downside and watch for resistance at 1270 for the S&P 500 index. Also watch the Financials (XLF), Homebuilders (XHB), Consumer Discretionary (XLY) and Energy (XLE)[More...]

Reasonably Priced Momentum

Mon, 28 Apr 2008 17:00:57 GMT

Several readers asked if I could find any reasonably priced momentum stocks, always a challenge. That goal is a common one, because who doesn't want the best of both worlds? A momentum bargain is like a train that's pulling away from the station but still[More...]

Mixed Earnings Signals

Wed, 23 Apr 2008 13:41:01 GMT

Good morning. Much like we saw both on Monday and Tuesday this week, premarket futures are mixed prior to the opening bell as investors sort through hundreds of earnings reports.[More...]

Earnings Preview Wed and some After Hours Reports Tonight

Tue, 22 Apr 2008 21:49:41 GMT

Looks like Illumina (ILMN) did another great quarter tonight - I was hoping it would not so I could buy at a much lower price off of a "miss". No such luck. Former fund holding VMWare (VMW) made $2 million more profit this year than last - which is quite[More...]

Pre Markets - Mar 26 2008 9:43AM

Wed, 26 Mar 2008 13:37:38 GMT

Futures are trading...[More...]

Wells Fargo, Navistar, AMR are big movers

Wed, 21 Oct 2009 21:46:00 GMT

NEW YORK - The following stocks were among those that moved substantially or traded heavily Wednesday on the New York Stock Exchange:
Wells Fargo reported a $2.6 billion third-quarter profit as the company's retail banking operations offset rising loan losses.
St. Jude Medical Inc., up 95 cents at $34.11

: iStockAnalyst.com Symbols Feed

Restaurant Investing: Indigestion Ahead

Junk Stock Rally Case Study: PF Chang’s (PFCB)

Not So Fast PF Chang's (NASDAQ GS:PFCB)?

The Meek Continue To Dominate Equities

Short Ideas For Wednesday

Keep An Eye on XLF, XHB, XLY and XLE for Rally Strength

Reasonably Priced Momentum

Mixed Earnings Signals

Earnings Preview Wed and some After Hours Reports Tonight

Pre Markets - Mar 26 2008 9:43AM

Wells Fargo, Navistar, AMR are big movers

Neiman Marcus Joins Retailers Cutting Hours to Save Money

Morgan Stanley, Ford, Yahoo, AirTran big movers

The Dallas Morning News Robert Miller Column: Women's Business Council Southwest to Hold Gala

P.F. Chang's Reports Third Quarter Earnings

Trintech Reports Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2010 Financial Results

PGA Tour Pro Briny Baird Makes Hole-in-One at Canadian Open

P.F. Chang's Reports Second Quarter Earnings and Raises Fiscal 2009 Earnings Guidance

P.F. Chang’s Reports Second Quarter Earnings and Raises Fiscal 2009 Earnings Guidance

P.F. Chang’s Introduces First-Ever Kid’s Menu

P.F. Chang’s Announces Resignation of Lane Cardwell from Its Board of Directors

CORRECTING and REPLACING PGA Tour Pro Briny Baird Makes Nearly Impossible Chip Shot; Wins America Free P.F. Chang’s Lettuce Wraps with Entrée Purchase

PGA Tour Pro Briny Baird Makes Nearly Impossible Chip Shot; Wins America Free P.F. Chang’s Lettuce Wraps with Entrée Purchase

P.F. Chang's Announces International Expansion in Mexico

Form 4 ANDERSON KERRII B For: Oct 26 (10K)

Form 3 ANDERSON KERRII B For: Oct 22 (10K)

Form 4 P F CHANGS CHINA BISTRO For: Oct 21 Filed by: SHENNAN JAMES G JR (10K)

Form 4 WELBORN R MICHAEL For: Jul 31 (10K)

Form 4 VIVIAN ROBERT T For: Jul 31 (10K)

Form 4 FEDERICO RICHARD L For: Jul 31 (10K)

Form 4 SHENNAN JAMES G JR For: May 31 (10K)

Form 4 SHENNAN JAMES G JR For: May 06 (10K)

Form 4 HOWE LESLEY H For: Apr 28 (10K)

Form 4 RHOADES M ANN For: Apr 28 (10K)