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Last chance to buy Gold and Producer Stocks

Mon, 08 Sep 2008 06:56:00 GMT

Even after declining for nearly eleven months, most investors remain thoroughly complacent toward the possibility that U.S. equities will suffer an additional substantial pullback. Both VXO and VIX, the two most historically reliable gauges of fear, show no more concern today about a significant decline than had existed when the U.S. stock market was close to its seven-year peak in the second half of 2007.A continued lack of fear in a falling market is the most dangerous scenario of all. The stock market has never completed any major bottom until the majority of investors were frightened enough to sell their stocks and to move their money into the safety of money-market funds and similar safe time deposits.In confirmation of this outlook, the only insider buying by top executives has occurred in the most undervalued sectors, with continued selling in most industries.While U.S. Treasuries have rallied to their[More...]

Overview of the US Volatility Indices

Tue, 05 Aug 2008 14:52:00 GMT

As a companion to yesterday’s The Evolution of the Volatility Index Family Tree post, I thought it might be helpful to include a comparative look at the major U.S. volatility indices, which is what the table below hopes to accomplish.The main distinguishing factor for these indices is whether or not futures and options are available as a means to trade the underlying. It is also important to note not just the launch date for the index, but also the period for which historical data are available. In some cases (e.g., VIX, [More...]

The Evolution of the Volatility Index Family Tree

Mon, 04 Aug 2008 17:01:00 GMT

In the beginning, there was the VIX. Eventually, the reach of the VIX was deemed too narrow and the volatility index universe was expanded to include the VXN, VXO, and a host of other volatility indices based on various U.S. equity indices. First an Ameri[More...]

Trading Stock Bears

Mon, 14 Jul 2008 13:28:00 GMT

Earlier this week, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) officially entered...[More...]

Unusual Chart of the Month

Wed, 11 Jun 2008 15:46:26 GMT

In the past, I have been accused of dreaming up strange and unusual charts just for the fun of it. I will gladly enter a guilty plea on that one. In fact, I enjoy cajoling the Department of Strange and Unusual Charts to come up with something that reader[More...]

Ten Things Everyone Should Know About the VIX

Tue, 29 Apr 2008 20:14:51 GMT

I have had quite a few requests to present some introductory material on the VIX, so with that in mind I offer up the following in question and answer format:[More...]

Midday Look - Apr 11 2008 4:23PM

Fri, 11 Apr 2008 20:18:14 GMT

Markets continue to trade lower with the DJIA -170, NAZ -40 and the SPX -18.[More...]

The Close - Mar 31 2008 5:01PM

Mon, 31 Mar 2008 20:56:14 GMT

Markets closed higher but the last 2 or 3 minutes of tradings saw some fierce selling as the DJIA lost almost half the gain in that time period. The DJIA +46, NAZ +18 and SPX +7.5.[More...]

MId Day Check

Mon, 31 Mar 2008 17:01:26 GMT

Markets are trading higher a bit after noon with the DJIA +61, NAZ +14 and SPX +8. CRUDE has taken an early swoon and is now trading down to $102+...[More...]

2003-2008: One Opinion

Fri, 21 Mar 2008 21:47:16 GMT

2003-2008: One Opinion[More...]