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Tuesday - End Of 2Q Plus Natural Gas Slide Show

Tue, 30 Jun 2009 13:26:32 GMT

In Today’s Post: Holdings Watch Commodity Watch Natural Gas Supply Slide Show - April 2009 Data Crack Spread Update Stuff We Care About - Another, bigger XCO deal Odds & Ends Holdings Watch: $10KP: $19,100 56% Cash No trades yesterday in (...)[More...]

One Stop Shopping For 'Energy' Exposure: Blackrock Energy And Resources

Tue, 09 Jun 2009 21:34:18 GMT

Let me preface this piece by saying I stole this specific instrument from Jeffrey Saut, who mentioned it in his weekly missive. Long time readers will know I've mentioned this market has become all about asset allocation, and sectors - I noticed this late in 2007 when we were hiding out in commodities while many other sectors were imploding but other than a few periods when "everything" is going down (or up) it appears a lot of individual stock selection is going out the window and "sectors" are more important. Some themes are broad like "China" or "commodities" (which in many ways are now the same theme), where others are narrower such as "casual dining restaurants". I don't know if its the dominance of program trading or the growing popularity of ETFs but this seems to be a secular change in the[More...]

Interpreting Yesterday's Rally

Fri, 14 Nov 2008 14:00:00 GMT

So I am sitting there, and the market's down around 4%. The S&P had breached the October lows, and I'm loaded with short positions, including a pretty large position in the ultrashort EEV. Then it suddenly occurs to me, everybody's watching this level, including the government. And they have hundred of billions of dollars to buy stocks! I started thinking, if I'm Hank Paulson, I'd be buying hand over fist now to protect the low, maybe put a floor under this market. So I covered a bunch of positions, although unfortunately too few, and what had been a magnificently profitable day turned into something quite mundane. That was some gut-wrenching, exhausting action. So call me a tin-hat conspiracy guy, but I think we would still be dropping if it weren't for the plunge-protection team. All the same, I will respect the rally, since it is exactly what I was looking for in order to move to a bullish orientation. I do not think we have seen the end of the bear[More...]

CHK Inks Marcellus Deal

Tue, 11 Nov 2008 14:31:00 GMT

The Money: $3.375 billion: $1.25 billion cash upfront; $2.125 billion in drilling costs over 2009-2012. The Position: CHK gives up 32.5% of their Marcellus position (or 600,000 acres of their 1.8 million acre position). The company had been looking to farm out 25% of their leading position in the play but at (...)[More...]

Earnings Preview For Nov 3 - 7 - Earnings Preview

Sat, 01 Nov 2008 01:58:00 GMT

Companies that could issue positive surprises include Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX), SucessFactors (SFSF) and Sunoco (SUN). Penn Virginia Corporation (PVA) could potentially disappoint investors. The Week's Events November has historically been one of the best months for the major markets, according to the[More...]

Picks for Monday's Rally

Mon, 13 Oct 2008 14:35:00 GMT

Considering Friday's late day surge and the action in world markets to start the week, we are likely to get a strong rally today, and even possibly an intermediate term bottom. I plan to play this rally fairly aggressively, including looking for some advantageous entries premarket. Here are some of the names I am considering:- QLD, designed to provide twice the performance of the NASDAQ 100, is my first choice in index ETF's. It shows climax selling on last Wednesday and Thursday, followed by a high volume close in the green on Friday.[More...]

Historic Day Bouncers

Thu, 09 Oct 2008 14:35:00 GMT

“Historic day” definitely refers to the global coordinated interest rate cut by the U.S., England, Europe, and China- the four most influential economies of our day. I was joking on my Twitter feed how exciting it was that China joined the “Allied Forces.” Yeah, the rate cuts probably took the world a step back from the cliff of a worldwide deep recession, but the positive benefits of the cuts, if any, probably won’t be felt for months and months. What mattered more for me today, and probably for those who monitor their investment accounts closely, it was just good to have a day where we weren’t in freefall.[More...]

Worst Performers Over Last Quarter

Mon, 06 Oct 2008 06:14:00 GMT

And here is the list of worst perfomers... keep in mind this is over a 90 day period. I show 136 stocks that lost at least 45% in the previous quarter. Very bad. The list is obvious - anything global growth, commodity related or the "dead" financial types.CriteriaMarket capitalization $1.25B+Average trading volume 100K+Stock price $0+Return this month -45%+Green names we own, blue names we have owned in the past or discussed in the blog. In orange I listed names we owned at some point during the quarter.[More...]

Today's Winners - It's All the Same Trade/Stock

Fri, 12 Sep 2008 20:09:00 GMT

Today's winner list is an example of why this is not a stock pickers market but a sector allocation market or as I like to say "It's all the same stock" Below is a list of 73 winners returning 6% or more. Instead of highlighting the commodity or global gr[More...]

Stocks Put In Weak Gains On Even Weaker Volume

Thu, 21 Aug 2008 14:21:00 GMT

When it comes to making a living in the stock market I have had no problem doing that for the past thriteen years. But all of a sudden this year, this trendless market has made it near impossible to make a lot of money. There are a few mutual funds that are up for the year but the majority of the greatest funds and greatest traders are finding it very difficult to make money in a market that simply does not go anywhere.Now, while we have had some big winners like PDO, XCO, and DGLY, we have also had some disappointments like BRKR BKE and AEHR. If this would have been a start of a bull market, like 2003 was, after the 2000-2002 downtrend, I am sure they would have all worked but for right now things still rarely work. But it is obviously clear to me that this market is not moving up or down and that it is just going nowhere. Why then, in God’s name, why would you be wanting to be going long or short stocks. It is clear from where I sit[More...]

Seven Plays Dominate North America Activity

Mon, 28 Sep 2009 08:02:00 GMT

GAS SHALE- 1 Seven shale plays dominate today's North America natural gas potential reserves additions and production increases.
Contrary to prior expectations of gas strat- egists and forecasts of gloom, ' today North America is awash in natural gas supply.
While reduced demand (-1.6 bcfd) and the new Rockies Express pipeline (0.9 bcfd) have been partly responsible, gas shale development undoubtedly has been the single most important factor.

: iStockAnalyst.com Symbols Feed

Tuesday - End Of 2Q Plus Natural Gas Slide Show

One Stop Shopping For 'Energy' Exposure: Blackrock Energy And Resources

Interpreting Yesterday's Rally

CHK Inks Marcellus Deal

Earnings Preview For Nov 3 - 7 - Earnings Preview

Picks for Monday's Rally

Historic Day Bouncers

Worst Performers Over Last Quarter

Today's Winners - It's All the Same Trade/Stock

Stocks Put In Weak Gains On Even Weaker Volume

Seven Plays Dominate North America Activity

AIG, Continental, Apollo Group are big movers

Emphasis on Urban Areas Affects Drilling in Ohio

OGJ200 Earnings Mixed As US Production, Reserves Climb

Dallas-Fort Worth's Energy Boom is Prominent Factor in Office Market

EXCO Resources, Inc. Reports Third Quarter 2009 Results

EXCO Resources Announces Redetermination of Borrowing Bases

EXCO Resources, Inc. Announces Sale of Oklahoma Producing Assets

EXCO Resources Announces Sale of Certain Ohio and Northwestern Pennsylvania Producing Assets

EV Energy Partners Announces Appalachia Acquisition

Encore Acquisition Company Announces Completion of Mid-Continent and East Texas Acquisition

EXCO Resources, Inc. Announces Closing of Sale of Certain Mid-Continent and East Texas Producing Assets

EXCO Resources, Inc. Announces Agreement with BG Group Regarding Midstream Assets

EXCO Resources, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2009 Results

EXCO Resources, Inc. to Host Analyst Meeting in Dallas

Form 4 BENJAMIN JEFFREY D For: Oct 01 (10K)

Form 4 ELLIS EARL For: Oct 01 (10K)

Form 4 NIEHAUS ROBERT H For: Apr 01 (10K)

Form 4 ELLIS EARL For: Apr 01 (10K)

Form 4 BENJAMIN JEFFREY D For: Apr 01 (10K)

Form 4 NIEHAUS ROBERT H For: Jan 02 (10K)

Form 4 BENJAMIN JEFFREY D For: Jan 02 (10K)

Form 4 ELLIS EARL For: Jan 02 (10K)

Form 4 Stillwell Robert Lee For: Jan 02 (10K)

Form 4 SMITH STEPHEN FRANKLIN For: Dec 22 (10K)